Sometimes it’s good to be wrong. Just over 6 months ago in this blog when we hit 100 million Covid cases I wearily predicted that at the then current rate of infection we would double to 200 million cases by Easter.
I was wrong and I’m glad. Instead, it’s taken about 27 weeks instead of the 9 weeks it then looked like.
But the slowing of the speed by which this plague doubles is the only cause for celebration.
At that time, there were 2.1 million fatalities out of the 200 million cases. We now have 4.2 million fatalities. The plague, if anything, is at least as lethal as it was six months ago, and possibly more so, given vaccination roll out in many parts of the world.
When do we reach 300 million? I will predict start of next March based on recent rate of 500000 new cases per day globally. I really hope I am wrong again and it takes a whole lot longer.